With ten days to go until the UEFA European Women’s Championship kicks off, I thought I’d take a look at the betting.

When I saw England as second-favourites, my initial reaction was surprise. After all, there’s been a lot going on in the past month or so…
Hectic Preparations
If you don’t know what I’m getting at, both Mary Earps and Fran Kirby announced shock international retirements with the past month.
England have also lost Millie Bright, who pulled out citing burnout, and are carrying a number of injured senior players – namely Lauren James, Alex Greenwood, Lauren Hemp and Georgia Stanway.
However, after thinking it through logically, the top of the market is about right – despite England’s hectic lead up to the tournament. You could make a case for Germany being a slightly shorter price, but it looks pretty much spot on.
England’s Potential Route
England are in the toughest group on paper, and must contend with both France and the Netherlands. These sides are currently 10th and 11th in the FIFA world rankings, while England have recently slipped to 5th.
This is another reason I was initially surprised to see England second in the betting – there’s a non-zero chance we don’t even get out of the group.
However, should the Lionesses progress, they’ll avoid clear-favourites Spain until at least the semi-final. And they’ll obviously eliminate one of France and the Netherlands in doing so.
There’s absolutely no way Spain don’t win Group B, meaning the two would meet in the semis if England top Group D, or the final, should we qualify in second place.

England’s Main Euro 2025 Rivals
So, how are the other teams at the top of the Women’s Euros betting shaping up?
France
There are signs in the French camp that maybe all’s not well at the moment.
Head coach Laurent Bonadei dropped the experienced duo Wendie Renard and Eugénie Le Sommer from his Euro 2025 squad. I saw they’d been left out of France’s last Nations League games, but I assumed they’d be back for the main event. Wrong.
Their opening fixture is, of course, against the Lionesses. If England beat them, they’ll be strong favourites to top the group, leaving France with a likely match-up against Germany, assuming they qualify.
You’d have to imagine that would be the end of their tournament.
Germany
I can’t see anything other than Germany winning Group C. There were no shocks regarding Christian Wück’s squad announcement, and they seem to be at full-strength.
Sure, they’ll have to face Sweden, currently ranked 6th in the world. But by the time that fixture rolls around, they should have already seen off Poland (27th) and Denmark (12th). A draw could even be enough to top the group.
If they do, they’ll play the runner-up of England’s group, followed by what will be the easiest of the semi-final fixtures. I expect them to stroll through to the final. Do your own jokes about German efficiency.
8/11 for Germany to win the Group (Sporting Index) feels like buying money.
Spain
Surprise, surprise – At 2/1, Spain are huge favourites to win the Women’s Euro 2025 outright. They’re the reigning world champions, having comfortably dispatched England in the final, and are in by far the easiest group of all the main contenders.
They’ll face Portugal (22nd in the world), Belgium (20th) and Italy (13th) in what will almost certainly be a straightforward passage to the quarter-finals. There, they’ll meet either the runner-up of Group C (probably Sweden) or the winner of England’s group.
If England are going to defend their Euros crown, they’ll need to beat Spain.
They managed this in February during the Nations League, thanks to a solitary Jess Park strike – so it can be done. However, they also lost 2-1 over in Spain as recently as June 3rd.
Who Wins Euro 2025?
I’ll be flying to Zurich on June 30th for the whole of the 2025 UEFA Women’s Championship – the perks of turning freelance!
I’ve got tickets for 13 games in total, including all three of England’s group matches, their possible knockout games and the final. I can’t wait.
However, I’m not particularly confident.
I can, at least, understand the logic in England being ranked second favourites. They are the reigning European champions, after all. And despite losing over 200 caps worth of experience, in Earps, Kirby and Bright, they’re still one of the world’s best teams.
But it’s just so hard to see past Spain.
Tough Opponents
If England can top their group, they’ll almost certainly face Spain in the semis, with Germany waiting in the final. That’s a very tough passage – though it would be interesting to see a repeat of the last Euros final match-up.
Trying to be clever and finishing second wouldn’t help much, either. That would just mean Germany in the quarters, an easy semi, then Spain in the final. Same same but different.
I think Germany have a slightly easier route to the final, assuming England top their group – a big assumption (5/4 with Sporting Index). I’d still expect Spain to beat them, but in a final, anything can happen.
Name The Finalists
Spain vs Germany is the favourite in the “Name the Finalists” betting market – and understandably so.

At 6/1 (Sporting Index) I might have a little nibble on that – it could be a nice little consolation prize if England miss out.
My Euro 2025 Predictions
- England lose to Spain in the semi-final
- Spain beat Germany in the final
- Sarina Wiegman leaves after the tournament